stock-bot/DEVELOPMENT-ROADMAP.md
2025-06-09 22:55:51 -04:00

10 KiB

📋 Stock Bot Development Roadmap

Last Updated: June 2025

🎯 Overview

This document outlines the development plan for the Stock Bot platform, focusing on building a robust data pipeline from market data providers through processing layers to trading execution. The plan emphasizes establishing solid foundational layers before adding advanced features.

🏗️ Architecture Philosophy

Raw Data → Clean Data → Insights → Strategies → Execution → Monitoring

Our approach prioritizes:

  • Data Quality First: Clean, validated data is the foundation
  • Incremental Complexity: Start simple, add sophistication gradually
  • Monitoring Everything: Observability at each layer
  • Fault Tolerance: Graceful handling of failures and data gaps

📊 Phase 1: Data Foundation Layer (Current Focus)

1.1 Data Service & Providers In Progress

Current Status: Basic structure in place, needs enhancement

Core Components:

  • apps/data-service - Central data orchestration service
  • Provider implementations:
    • providers/yahoo.provider.ts Basic implementation
    • providers/quotemedia.provider.ts Basic implementation
    • providers/proxy.provider.ts Proxy/fallback logic

Immediate Tasks:

  1. Enhance Provider Reliability

    // libs/data-providers (NEW LIBRARY NEEDED)
    interface DataProvider {
      getName(): string;
      getQuote(symbol: string): Promise<Quote>;
      getHistorical(symbol: string, period: TimePeriod): Promise<OHLCV[]>;
      isHealthy(): Promise<boolean>;
      getRateLimit(): RateLimitInfo;
    }
    
  2. Add Rate Limiting & Circuit Breakers

    • Implement in libs/http client
    • Add provider-specific rate limits
    • Circuit breaker pattern for failed providers
  3. Data Validation Layer

    // libs/data-validation (NEW LIBRARY NEEDED)
    - Price reasonableness checks
    - Volume validation
    - Timestamp validation
    - Missing data detection
    
  4. Provider Registry Enhancement

    • Dynamic provider switching
    • Health-based routing
    • Cost optimization (free → paid fallback)

1.2 Raw Data Storage

Storage Strategy:

  • QuestDB: Real-time market data (OHLCV, quotes)
  • MongoDB: Provider responses, metadata, configurations
  • PostgreSQL: Processed/clean data, trading records

Schema Design:

-- QuestDB Time-Series Tables
raw_quotes (timestamp, symbol, provider, bid, ask, last, volume)
raw_ohlcv (timestamp, symbol, provider, open, high, low, close, volume)
provider_health (timestamp, provider, latency, success_rate, error_rate)

-- MongoDB Collections
provider_responses: { provider, symbol, timestamp, raw_response, status }
data_quality_metrics: { symbol, date, completeness, accuracy, issues[] }

Immediate Implementation:

  1. Enhance libs/questdb-client with streaming inserts
  2. Add data retention policies
  3. Implement data compression strategies

🧹 Phase 2: Data Processing & Quality Layer

2.1 Data Cleaning Service Next Priority

New Service: apps/processing-service

Core Responsibilities:

  1. Data Normalization

    • Standardize timestamps (UTC)
    • Normalize price formats
    • Handle split/dividend adjustments
  2. Quality Checks

    • Outlier detection (price spikes, volume anomalies)
    • Gap filling strategies
    • Cross-provider validation
  3. Data Enrichment

    • Calculate derived metrics (returns, volatility)
    • Add technical indicators
    • Market session classification

Library Enhancements Needed:

// libs/data-frame (ENHANCE EXISTING)
class MarketDataFrame {
  // Add time-series specific operations
  fillGaps(strategy: GapFillStrategy): MarketDataFrame;
  detectOutliers(method: OutlierMethod): OutlierReport;
  normalize(): MarketDataFrame;
  calculateReturns(period: number): MarketDataFrame;
}

// libs/data-quality (NEW LIBRARY)
interface QualityMetrics {
  completeness: number;
  accuracy: number;
  timeliness: number;
  consistency: number;
  issues: QualityIssue[];
}

2.2 Technical Indicators Library

Enhance: libs/strategy-engine or create libs/technical-indicators

Initial Indicators:

  • Moving averages (SMA, EMA, VWAP)
  • Momentum (RSI, MACD, Stochastic)
  • Volatility (Bollinger Bands, ATR)
  • Volume (OBV, Volume Profile)
// Implementation approach
interface TechnicalIndicator<T = number> {
  name: string;
  calculate(data: OHLCV[]): T[];
  getSignal(current: T, previous: T[]): Signal;
}

🧠 Phase 3: Analytics & Strategy Layer

3.1 Strategy Engine Enhancement

Current: Basic structure exists in libs/strategy-engine

Enhancements Needed:

  1. Strategy Framework

    abstract class TradingStrategy {
      abstract analyze(data: MarketData): StrategySignal[];
      abstract getRiskParams(): RiskParameters;
      backtest(historicalData: MarketData[]): BacktestResults;
    }
    
  2. Signal Generation

    • Entry/exit signals
    • Position sizing recommendations
    • Risk-adjusted scores
  3. Strategy Types to Implement:

    • Mean reversion
    • Momentum/trend following
    • Statistical arbitrage
    • Volume-based strategies

3.2 Backtesting Engine

New Service: Enhanced apps/strategy-service

Features:

  • Historical simulation
  • Performance metrics calculation
  • Risk analysis
  • Strategy comparison

Phase 4: Execution Layer

4.1 Portfolio Management

Enhance: apps/portfolio-service

Core Features:

  • Position tracking
  • Risk monitoring
  • P&L calculation
  • Margin management

4.2 Order Management

New Service: apps/order-service

Responsibilities:

  • Order validation
  • Execution routing
  • Fill reporting
  • Trade reconciliation

4.3 Risk Management

New Library: libs/risk-engine

Risk Controls:

  • Position limits
  • Drawdown limits
  • Correlation limits
  • Volatility scaling

📚 Library Improvements Roadmap

Immediate (Phase 1-2)

  1. libs/http Current Priority

    • Rate limiting middleware
    • Circuit breaker pattern
    • Request/response caching
    • Retry strategies with exponential backoff
  2. libs/questdb-client

    • Streaming insert optimization
    • Batch insert operations
    • Connection pooling
    • Query result caching
  3. libs/logger Recently Updated

    • Migrated to getLogger() pattern
    • Performance metrics logging
    • Structured trading event logging
  4. libs/data-frame

    • Time-series operations
    • Financial calculations
    • Memory optimization for large datasets

Medium Term (Phase 3)

  1. libs/cache

    • Market data caching strategies
    • Cache warming for frequently accessed symbols
    • Distributed caching support
  2. libs/config

    • Strategy-specific configurations
    • Dynamic configuration updates
    • Environment-specific overrides

Long Term (Phase 4+)

  1. libs/vector-engine
    • Market similarity analysis
    • Pattern recognition
    • Correlation analysis

🎯 Immediate Next Steps (Next 2 Weeks)

Week 1: Data Provider Hardening

  1. Enhance HTTP Client (libs/http)

    • Implement rate limiting
    • Add circuit breaker pattern
    • Add comprehensive error handling
  2. Provider Reliability (apps/data-service)

    • Add health checks for all providers
    • Implement fallback logic
    • Add provider performance monitoring
  3. Data Validation

    • Create libs/data-validation
    • Implement basic price/volume validation
    • Add data quality metrics

Week 2: Processing Foundation

  1. Start Processing Service (apps/processing-service)

    • Basic data cleaning pipeline
    • Outlier detection
    • Gap filling strategies
  2. QuestDB Optimization (libs/questdb-client)

    • Implement streaming inserts
    • Add batch operations
    • Optimize for time-series data
  3. Technical Indicators

    • Start libs/technical-indicators
    • Implement basic indicators (SMA, EMA, RSI)

📊 Success Metrics

Phase 1 Completion Criteria

  • 99.9% data provider uptime
  • <500ms average data latency
  • Zero data quality issues for major symbols
  • All providers monitored and health-checked

Phase 2 Completion Criteria

  • Automated data quality scoring
  • Gap-free historical data for 100+ symbols
  • Real-time technical indicator calculation
  • Processing latency <100ms

Phase 3 Completion Criteria

  • 5+ implemented trading strategies
  • Comprehensive backtesting framework
  • Performance analytics dashboard

🚨 Risk Mitigation

Data Risks

  • Provider Failures: Multi-provider fallback strategy
  • Data Quality: Automated validation and alerting
  • Rate Limits: Smart request distribution

Technical Risks

  • Scalability: Horizontal scaling design
  • Latency: Optimize critical paths early
  • Data Loss: Comprehensive backup strategies

Operational Risks

  • Monitoring: Full observability stack (Grafana, Loki, Prometheus)
  • Alerting: Critical issue notifications
  • Documentation: Keep architecture docs current

💡 Innovation Opportunities

Machine Learning Integration

  • Predictive models for data quality
  • Anomaly detection in market data
  • Strategy parameter optimization

Real-time Processing

  • Stream processing with Kafka/Pulsar
  • Event-driven architecture
  • WebSocket data feeds

Advanced Analytics

  • Market microstructure analysis
  • Alternative data integration
  • Cross-asset correlation analysis

This roadmap is a living document that will evolve as we learn and adapt. Focus remains on building solid foundations before adding complexity.

Next Review: End of June 2025